{"scenario_id":"domestic-instability","name":"Domestic instability","evaluated_at":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","lit":1,"not_lit":0,"not_evaluated":5,"total":6,"modules":{"mayday":{"lit":0,"total":0},"sky":{"lit":1,"total":1},"money":{"lit":0,"total":0},"pulse":{"lit":0,"total":1},"homeland":{"lit":0,"total":4}},"modules_lit":["sky"],"counted":false,"weight_lit":1,"weight_total":6,"lr_product":1,"elevated_at":3,"mayday_at":5,"reaches":"NORMAL","contribution":"NORMAL","why":"1 of 6 signs lit, from 1 module. 5 not evaluated.","gaps":["ACLED data until its keys exist.","Threats that never become a public charge.","Private talks between officials.","More threats or attacks on officials and judges than normal: needs an editor. No mark yet.","More armed demonstrations than normal: needs an editor. No mark yet.","A state or an official refuses to certify a result or obey a court order: needs an editor. No mark yet.","A governor, a general or a top police leader breaks with the federal government in public: needs an editor. No mark yet.","The National Guard deploys in a state over its governor's objection: needs an editor. No mark yet."],"signs":[{"sign_id":"threats_on_officials","scenario_id":"domestic-instability","words":"Threats or attacks on officials and judges over baseline (ACLED, DOJ charges)","plain":"More threats or attacks on officials and judges than normal","module":"homeland","kind":"editor","state":"NOT EVALUATED","confidence":"LOW","confidence_reason":"No data to judge.","why":"Needs an editor. No mark yet.","weight":1,"evaluated_at":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","fetched_at":null,"findings":[],"inputs":[]},{"sign_id":"armed_demonstrations","scenario_id":"domestic-instability","words":"armed demonstrations over baseline (ACLED)","plain":"More armed demonstrations than normal","module":"pulse","kind":"editor","state":"NOT EVALUATED","confidence":"LOW","confidence_reason":"No data to judge.","why":"Needs an editor. No mark yet.","weight":1,"evaluated_at":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","fetched_at":null,"findings":[],"inputs":[]},{"sign_id":"refusal_to_certify","scenario_id":"domestic-instability","words":"a state or official refusing to certify a result or obey a court order","plain":"A state or an official refuses to certify a result or obey a court order","module":"homeland","kind":"editor","state":"NOT EVALUATED","confidence":"LOW","confidence_reason":"No data to judge.","why":"Needs an editor. No mark yet.","weight":1,"evaluated_at":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","fetched_at":null,"findings":[],"inputs":[]},{"sign_id":"public_break","scenario_id":"domestic-instability","words":"a public break with the federal government by a governor, general or senior law enforcement leader","plain":"A governor, a general or a top police leader breaks with the federal government in public","module":"homeland","kind":"editor","state":"NOT EVALUATED","confidence":"LOW","confidence_reason":"No data to judge.","why":"Needs an editor. No mark yet.","weight":1,"evaluated_at":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","fetched_at":null,"findings":[],"inputs":[]},{"sign_id":"guard_over_objection","scenario_id":"domestic-instability","words":"National Guard deployed over a governor's objection","plain":"The National Guard deploys in a state over its governor's objection","module":"homeland","kind":"editor","state":"NOT EVALUATED","confidence":"LOW","confidence_reason":"No data to judge.","why":"Needs an editor. No mark yet.","weight":1,"evaluated_at":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","fetched_at":null,"findings":[],"inputs":[]},{"sign_id":"tfr_state_capital","scenario_id":"domestic-instability","words":"TFR over a state capital","plain":"A new security flight restriction over a state capital","module":"sky","kind":"event","state":"LIT","confidence":"MODERATE","confidence_reason":"One source graded B2 or better.","why":"Seen once in the last 2 days.","weight":1,"evaluated_at":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T17:40:29.074Z","findings":[{"key":"01M6MG2P00X3QBYPVJAS9PHRV3","label":null,"measure":"event","value":null,"bar":null,"lit":true,"ts":"2026-11-05T00:00:00.000Z"}],"inputs":[{"type":"event","id":"01M6MG2P00X3QBYPVJAS9PHRV3","source":"faa_tfr","ts":"2026-11-05T00:00:00.000Z","tags":["place:state_capital","tfr:security"],"url":"https://tfr.faa.gov/tfr3/?page=detail_6_5946","source_url":"https://tfr.faa.gov/tfrapi/exportTfrList","fetched_at":"2026-11-05T17:40:29.074Z","raw_key":"raw/faa_tfr/2026/11/05/174029Z-022295c19876.json"}]}],"fetched_at":"2026-11-05T17:40:29.074Z","version":"3b1a3fe432503d54a232e13103417d21775036b9"}