Payload
JSON, PRETTY-PRINTED{
"scenario_id": "us-strike-abroad",
"name": "US military strike abroad",
"evaluated_at": "2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z",
"lit": 0,
"not_lit": 1,
"not_evaluated": 6,
"total": 7,
"modules": {
"mayday": {
"lit": 0,
"total": 2
},
"sky": {
"lit": 0,
"total": 3
},
"money": {
"lit": 0,
"total": 0
},
"pulse": {
"lit": 0,
"total": 2
},
"homeland": {
"lit": 0,
"total": 0
}
},
"modules_lit": [],
"counted": false,
"weight_lit": 0,
"weight_total": 7,
"lr_product": 1,
"elevated_at": 4,
"mayday_at": 6,
"reaches": "NORMAL",
"contribution": "NORMAL",
"why": "0 of 7 signs lit. 6 not evaluated.",
"gaps": [
"Classified movements and orders.",
"Aircraft that fly without ADS-B or with blocked positions.",
"Encrypted communications.",
"Anything that is not on a public feed.",
"Food places near the Pentagon are at MAYDAY: not enough data in the last hour.",
"Food places near the White House are at MAYDAY: not enough data in the last hour.",
"Far more tanker planes than normal over one region: still learning what normal looks like.",
"An airborne command post flying at an unusual hour: still learning what normal looks like.",
"Betting odds on a US strike up 15 points or more in a day: no readings yet.",
"News about the target country turns far darker than normal: no readings yet."
],
"signs": [
{
"sign_id": "pentagon_ring",
"scenario_id": "us-strike-abroad",
"words": "Pentagon ring MAYDAY",
"plain": "Food places near the Pentagon are at MAYDAY",
"module": "mayday",
"kind": "alert",
"state": "NOT EVALUATED",
"confidence": "LOW",
"confidence_reason": "No data to judge.",
"why": "Not enough data in the last hour.",
"weight": 1,
"evaluated_at": "2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z",
"fetched_at": null,
"findings": [],
"inputs": []
},
{
"sign_id": "white_house_ring",
"scenario_id": "us-strike-abroad",
"words": "White House ring MAYDAY",
"plain": "Food places near the White House are at MAYDAY",
"module": "mayday",
"kind": "alert",
"state": "NOT EVALUATED",
"confidence": "LOW",
"confidence_reason": "No data to judge.",
"why": "Not enough data in the last hour.",
"weight": 1,
"evaluated_at": "2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z",
"fetched_at": null,
"findings": [],
"inputs": []
},
{
"sign_id": "tanker_surge",
"scenario_id": "us-strike-abroad",
"words": "tanker surge over a region",
"plain": "Far more tanker planes than normal over one region",
"module": "sky",
"kind": "metric",
"state": "NOT EVALUATED",
"confidence": "LOW",
"confidence_reason": "No data to judge.",
"why": "Still learning what normal looks like.",
"weight": 1,
"evaluated_at": "2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z",
"fetched_at": "2026-11-05T23:55:29.074Z",
"findings": [
{
"key": "tanker:pacific",
"label": "Tankers over the Pacific",
"measure": "z",
"value": null,
"bar": null,
"lit": false,
"ts": null
},
{
"key": "tanker:gulf",
"label": "Tankers over the Gulf",
"measure": "z",
"value": null,
"bar": null,
"lit": false,
"ts": null
},
{
"key": "tanker:europe",
"label": "Tankers over Europe",
"measure": "z",
"value": null,
"bar": null,
"lit": false,
"ts": null
},
{
"key": "tanker:conus",
"label": "Tankers over the US",
"measure": "z",
"value": null,
"bar": null,
"lit": false,
"ts": null
},
{
"key": "tanker:atlantic",
"label": "Tankers over the Atlantic",
"measure": "z",
"value": null,
"bar": null,
"lit": false,
"ts": null
}
],
"inputs": [
{
"type": "reading",
"db": "sky",
"metric": "class_count",
"key": "tanker:pacific",
"ts": "2026-11-05T23:55:31.006Z",
"value": 0,
"z": null,
"baseline": null,
"source": "adsb_lol",
"source_url": "https://api.adsb.lol/v2/mil",
"fetched_at": "2026-11-05T23:55:29.074Z",
"raw_key": "raw/adsb_lol/2026/11/05/235529Z-1e7820da1ab9.json"
},
{
"type": "reading",
"db": "sky",
"metric": "class_count",
"key": "tanker:gulf",
"ts": "2026-11-05T23:55:31.006Z",
"value": 0,
"z": null,
"baseline": null,
"source": "adsb_lol",
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"raw_key": "raw/adsb_lol/2026/11/05/235529Z-1e7820da1ab9.json"
},
{
"type": "reading",
"db": "sky",
"metric": "class_count",
"key": "tanker:europe",
"ts": "2026-11-05T23:55:31.006Z",
"value": 1,
"z": null,
"baseline": null,
"source": "adsb_lol",
"source_url": "https://api.adsb.lol/v2/mil",
"fetched_at": "2026-11-05T23:55:29.074Z",
"raw_key": "raw/adsb_lol/2026/11/05/235529Z-1e7820da1ab9.json"
},
{
"type": "reading",
"db": "sky",
"metric": "class_count",
"key": "tanker:conus",
"ts": "2026-11-05T23:55:31.006Z",
"value": 1,
"z": null,
"baseline": null,
"source": "adsb_lol",
"source_url": "https://api.adsb.lol/v2/mil",
"fetched_at": "2026-11-05T23:55:29.074Z",
"raw_key": "raw/adsb_lol/2026/11/05/235529Z-1e7820da1ab9.json"
},
{
"type": "reading",
"db": "sky",
"metric": "class_count",
"key": "tanker:atlantic",
"ts": "2026-11-05T23:55:31.006Z",
"value": 0,
"z": null,
"baseline": null,
"source": "adsb_lol",
"source_url": "https://api.adsb.lol/v2/mil",
"fetched_at": "2026-11-05T23:55:29.074Z",
"raw_key": "raw/adsb_lol/2026/11/05/235529Z-1e7820da1ab9.json"
}
]
},
{
"sign_id": "command_aircraft_offhours",
"scenario_id": "us-strike-abroad",
"words": "E-4B or E-6B airborne off-hours",
"plain": "An airborne command post flying at an unusual hour",
"module": "sky",
"kind": "metric",
"state": "NOT EVALUATED",
"confidence": "LOW",
"confidence_reason": "No data to judge.",
"why": "Still learning what normal looks like.",
"weight": 1,
"evaluated_at": "2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z",
"fetched_at": "2026-11-05T23:55:29.074Z",
"findings": [
{
"key": "national_command:pacific",
"label": "Command aircraft over the Pacific",
"measure": "z",
"value": null,
"bar": null,
"lit": false,
"ts": null
},
{
"key": "national_command:gulf",
"label": "Command aircraft over the Gulf",
"measure": "z",
"value": null,
"bar": null,
"lit": false,
"ts": null
},
{
"key": "national_command:europe",
"label": "Command aircraft over Europe",
"measure": "z",
"value": null,
"bar": null,
"lit": false,
"ts": null
},
{
"key": "national_command:conus",
"label": "Command aircraft over the US",
"measure": "z",
"value": null,
"bar": null,
"lit": false,
"ts": null
},
{
"key": "national_command:atlantic",
"label": "Command aircraft over the Atlantic",
"measure": "z",
"value": null,
"bar": null,
"lit": false,
"ts": null
}
],
"inputs": [
{
"type": "reading",
"db": "sky",
"metric": "class_count",
"key": "national_command:pacific",
"ts": "2026-11-05T23:55:31.006Z",
"value": 0,
"z": null,
"baseline": null,
"source": "adsb_lol",
"source_url": "https://api.adsb.lol/v2/mil",
"fetched_at": "2026-11-05T23:55:29.074Z",
"raw_key": "raw/adsb_lol/2026/11/05/235529Z-1e7820da1ab9.json"
},
{
"type": "reading",
"db": "sky",
"metric": "class_count",
"key": "national_command:gulf",
"ts": "2026-11-05T23:55:31.006Z",
"value": 0,
"z": null,
"baseline": null,
"source": "adsb_lol",
"source_url": "https://api.adsb.lol/v2/mil",
"fetched_at": "2026-11-05T23:55:29.074Z",
"raw_key": "raw/adsb_lol/2026/11/05/235529Z-1e7820da1ab9.json"
},
{
"type": "reading",
"db": "sky",
"metric": "class_count",
"key": "national_command:europe",
"ts": "2026-11-05T23:55:31.006Z",
"value": 0,
"z": null,
"baseline": null,
"source": "adsb_lol",
"source_url": "https://api.adsb.lol/v2/mil",
"fetched_at": "2026-11-05T23:55:29.074Z",
"raw_key": "raw/adsb_lol/2026/11/05/235529Z-1e7820da1ab9.json"
},
{
"type": "reading",
"db": "sky",
"metric": "class_count",
"key": "national_command:conus",
"ts": "2026-11-05T23:55:31.006Z",
"value": 0,
"z": null,
"baseline": null,
"source": "adsb_lol",
"source_url": "https://api.adsb.lol/v2/mil",
"fetched_at": "2026-11-05T23:55:29.074Z",
"raw_key": "raw/adsb_lol/2026/11/05/235529Z-1e7820da1ab9.json"
},
{
"type": "reading",
"db": "sky",
"metric": "class_count",
"key": "national_command:atlantic",
"ts": "2026-11-05T23:55:31.006Z",
"value": 0,
"z": null,
"baseline": null,
"source": "adsb_lol",
"source_url": "https://api.adsb.lol/v2/mil",
"fetched_at": "2026-11-05T23:55:29.074Z",
"raw_key": "raw/adsb_lol/2026/11/05/235529Z-1e7820da1ab9.json"
}
]
},
{
"sign_id": "strike_market_jump",
"scenario_id": "us-strike-abroad",
"words": "Kalshi or Polymarket strike market up 15 points in 24 h",
"plain": "Betting odds on a US strike up 15 points or more in a day",
"module": "pulse",
"kind": "metric",
"state": "NOT EVALUATED",
"confidence": "LOW",
"confidence_reason": "No data to judge.",
"why": "No readings yet.",
"weight": 1,
"evaluated_at": "2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z",
"fetched_at": null,
"findings": [],
"inputs": []
},
{
"sign_id": "target_tone_drop",
"scenario_id": "us-strike-abroad",
"words": "GDELT tone drop for the target country",
"plain": "News about the target country turns far darker than normal",
"module": "pulse",
"kind": "metric",
"state": "NOT EVALUATED",
"confidence": "LOW",
"confidence_reason": "No data to judge.",
"why": "No readings yet.",
"weight": 1,
"evaluated_at": "2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z",
"fetched_at": null,
"findings": [],
"inputs": []
},
{
"sign_id": "dc_tfr_or_exec_aircraft",
"scenario_id": "us-strike-abroad",
"words": "DC TFR or executive aircraft moving",
"plain": "A new security flight restriction over Washington, or executive jets flying far more than normal",
"module": "sky",
"kind": "any",
"state": "NOT LIT",
"confidence": "LOW",
"confidence_reason": "Part of this sign has no data.",
"why": "Security flight restriction over Washington: none in the last 2 days. Executive jets: still learning what normal looks like.",
"weight": 1,
"evaluated_at": "2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z",
"fetched_at": "2026-11-05T23:55:29.074Z",
"findings": [],
"inputs": [
{
"type": "source_run",
"source": "faa_tfr",
"status": "ok",
"last_ok_at": "2026-11-05T23:55:37.509Z",
"source_url": "https://tfr.faa.gov/tfrapi/exportTfrList",
"fetched_at": "2026-11-05T23:55:29.074Z",
"raw_key": "raw/faa_tfr/2026/11/05/235529Z-a3c9e71fa8f7.json"
}
]
}
],
"fetched_at": "2026-11-05T23:55:29.074Z",
"version": "3b1a3fe432503d54a232e13103417d21775036b9"
}