Every 15 minutes GDELT reads the world's news and codes each event it finds by place. We count those events in hexagons about 50 km across and compare each count with a normal count for that place and that hour of the week. Prediction markets and sanctions lists sit beside the map.
How to read this
The darker the hexagon, the further its count runs over normal. There are four steps and no colors: an outline is near normal, a quarter fill is above normal, a half fill is far above normal, and a full fill is past the bar to alert. A place with no history yet is outlined only.
News volume is not the same as events on the ground. State media can flood a country, and machine coding misfires. A single place never lights a sign on its own: the scenarios read tone and volume by country, and a market must move with them.
World map of 130 places with news events in the latest 15-minute count. No place has a full baseline yet, so none is scored. The list has the 100 furthest over normal.
Outline: events, near normal
above normal
far above normal
far above normal, past the bar to alert
The 100 places furthest over normal, of 130
PLACE
EVENTS
TONE
GOLDSTEIN
SCORE
AGAINST NORMAL
WINDOW
39.1° N, 77.1° W cell 842aa85ffffffff
99
-2.6
0.8
–
no baseline yet
31.4° N, 34.2° E cell 842db61ffffffff
80
-2.7
0.0
–
no baseline yet
34.2° N, 118.1° W cell 8429a1dffffffff
52
-1.8
0.6
–
no baseline yet
42.1° N, 74.7° W cell 842a16dffffffff
46
-1.4
1.1
–
no baseline yet
21.5° N, 39.9° E cell 8453a93ffffffff
37
0.9
4.9
–
no baseline yet
36.1° N, 119.7° W cell 8429a81ffffffff
35
-2.8
0.7
–
no baseline yet
37.8° N, 122.3° W cell 8428309ffffffff
31
-1.9
0.8
–
no baseline yet
46.5° N, 32.4° E cell 841e4adffffffff
26
-2.5
1.7
–
no baseline yet
39.7° N, 86.2° W cell 842661bffffffff
26
-4.5
-0.7
–
no baseline yet
31.1° N, 97.6° W cell 84489abffffffff
26
-2.2
-2.2
–
no baseline yet
6.5° N, 3.5° E cell 84589c9ffffffff
24
0.9
0.1
–
no baseline yet
12.1° N, 8.4° E cell 84580a5ffffffff
23
2.5
1.3
–
no baseline yet
41.9° N, 87.6° W cell 842664dffffffff
22
-3.4
0.8
–
no baseline yet
38.8° N, 77.4° W cell 842aaabffffffff
22
-2.8
-0.5
–
no baseline yet
61.4° N, 152.5° W cell 840c54dffffffff
21
-1.2
1.6
–
no baseline yet
40.4° N, 86.1° W cell 8426653ffffffff
20
-5.5
3.8
–
no baseline yet
40.9° N, 73.8° W cell 842a101ffffffff
20
-3.9
-1.6
–
no baseline yet
38.9° N, 105.3° W cell 84268ebffffffff
19
1.1
0.3
–
no baseline yet
9.2° N, 7.5° E cell 8458f47ffffffff
17
2.6
1.4
–
no baseline yet
37.8° N, 37.9° E cell 842dad7ffffffff
16
-9.4
-1.4
–
no baseline yet
27.8° N, 81.8° W cell 8444ad3ffffffff
16
-2.3
1.7
–
no baseline yet
23.2° N, 85.5° E cell 843ca85ffffffff
15
-2.5
0.6
–
no baseline yet
34.1° N, 118.6° W cell 8429a19ffffffff
14
1.8
1.7
–
no baseline yet
40.3° N, 82.5° W cell 842a951ffffffff
13
-1.6
1.6
–
no baseline yet
55.8° N, 37.8° E cell 8411aa7ffffffff
12
-1.6
1.3
–
no baseline yet
35.6° N, 97.4° W cell 8426c19ffffffff
12
-2.5
-1.4
–
no baseline yet
35.0° N, 117.8° W cell 8429a3bffffffff
12
-2.0
-0.2
–
no baseline yet
33.7° N, 111.6° W cell 8448eb3ffffffff
12
-0.2
0.7
–
no baseline yet
7.7° N, 3.8° E cell 8458803ffffffff
12
-0.7
0.9
–
no baseline yet
6.7° N, 3.8° E cell 8458835ffffffff
12
2.4
3.2
–
no baseline yet
18.6° N, 72.3° W cell 846725dffffffff
12
-2.8
-1.1
–
no baseline yet
35.8° N, 51.4° E cell 842cf31ffffffff
11
-4.5
-0.1
–
no baseline yet
39.6° N, 104.9° W cell 84268cdffffffff
10
0.7
1.9
–
no baseline yet
42.7° N, 107.4° W cell 8426a25ffffffff
10
2.6
2.1
–
no baseline yet
40.6° N, 74.2° W cell 842a107ffffffff
10
0.8
1.5
–
no baseline yet
41.0° N, 72.8° W cell 842a155ffffffff
10
0.0
2.5
–
no baseline yet
37.9° N, 78.0° W cell 842a8cbffffffff
10
-2.4
0.2
–
no baseline yet
37.5° N, 84.5° W cell 842a9a5ffffffff
10
-0.9
3.9
–
no baseline yet
45.3° N, 75.8° W cell 842b83bffffffff
10
1.5
0.1
–
no baseline yet
43.8° N, 79.5° W cell 842b9bdffffffff
10
2.6
3.3
–
no baseline yet
21.1° N, 106.4° E cell 84415c9ffffffff
10
2.0
-5.1
–
no baseline yet
32.9° N, 89.5° W cell 844458dffffffff
10
-0.6
2.5
–
no baseline yet
32.9° N, 83.7° W cell 8444c0bffffffff
10
-3.7
3.4
–
no baseline yet
32.0° N, 102.6° W cell 8448d6dffffffff
10
-0.9
-0.5
–
no baseline yet
11.7° N, 8.6° E cell 845819bffffffff
10
-7.8
-0.8
–
no baseline yet
51.9° N, 0.7° E cell 84194e1ffffffff
9
-3.9
0.0
–
no baseline yet
46.7° N, 32.9° E cell 841e4a9ffffffff
9
-2.5
0.3
–
no baseline yet
50.3° N, 30.8° E cell 841e63bffffffff
9
-1.8
1.1
–
no baseline yet
33.5° N, 36.3° E cell 842db13ffffffff
9
-0.2
4.8
–
no baseline yet
28.5° N, 77.2° E cell 843da11ffffffff
9
-0.6
3.4
–
no baseline yet
25.7° S, 28.4° E cell 84bcdc9ffffffff
9
3.8
0.7
–
no baseline yet
35.6° N, 86.6° W cell 84264d3ffffffff
8
-6.2
-0.1
–
no baseline yet
48.4° N, 46.7° E cell 842d4b3ffffffff
8
-6.2
2.4
–
no baseline yet
13.0° N, 5.2° E cell 8458153ffffffff
8
0.9
1.8
–
no baseline yet
7.5° N, 4.6° E cell 8458817ffffffff
8
-5.0
-3.7
–
no baseline yet
5.1° N, 8.0° E cell 8458d25ffffffff
8
1.6
0.9
–
no baseline yet
47.5° N, 19.2° E cell 841e037ffffffff
7
3.8
4.2
–
no baseline yet
37.9° N, 23.6° E cell 841eda7ffffffff
7
-0.7
1.5
–
no baseline yet
31.1° N, 91.7° W cell 8444403ffffffff
7
0.7
-2.9
–
no baseline yet
8.0° N, 4.1° E cell 845881dffffffff
7
2.1
5.7
–
no baseline yet
51.7° N, 8.4° W cell 84182a3ffffffff
6
-0.3
3.0
–
no baseline yet
52.7° N, 13.4° E cell 841f1d5ffffffff
6
2.2
-2.8
–
no baseline yet
50.9° N, 4.3° E cell 841fa45ffffffff
6
-1.3
1.5
–
no baseline yet
45.8° N, 93.7° W cell 8426253ffffffff
6
-1.7
-0.7
–
no baseline yet
32.6° N, 96.7° W cell 8426cb9ffffffff
6
-9.6
-6.7
–
no baseline yet
49.8° N, 97.3° W cell 84271c9ffffffff
6
-2.5
-0.8
–
no baseline yet
44.7° N, 122.0° W cell 8428f45ffffffff
6
-1.8
2.6
–
no baseline yet
40.5° N, 73.7° W cell 842a103ffffffff
6
-0.5
-0.9
–
no baseline yet
42.2° N, 71.7° W cell 842a33dffffffff
6
-0.4
0.4
–
no baseline yet
40.6° N, 82.2° W cell 842a959ffffffff
6
0.0
1.1
–
no baseline yet
40.5° N, 77.1° W cell 842aa17ffffffff
6
-6.0
-2.4
–
no baseline yet
35.8° N, 36.6° E cell 842daedffffffff
6
-0.2
2.7
–
no baseline yet
23.9° N, 86.0° E cell 843ca8bffffffff
6
-5.1
0.0
–
no baseline yet
23.9° N, 86.5° E cell 843ca9dffffffff
6
-4.5
0.5
–
no baseline yet
37.0° N, 30.9° E cell 843f68dffffffff
6
-2.3
4.0
–
no baseline yet
10.1° N, 11.2° E cell 8458e17ffffffff
6
-0.5
2.7
–
no baseline yet
7.5° N, 8.7° E cell 8458f37ffffffff
6
-8.8
2.4
–
no baseline yet
49.9° N, 119.3° W cell 8412d17ffffffff
5
4.6
3.2
–
no baseline yet
50.8° N, 129.4° E cell 8414a81ffffffff
5
-2.5
1.6
–
no baseline yet
54.6° N, 6.2° W cell 841952dffffffff
5
2.2
0.3
–
no baseline yet
48.8° N, 2.2° E cell 841fb47ffffffff
5
-1.3
-0.2
–
no baseline yet
40.4° N, 89.1° W cell 8426621ffffffff
5
1.8
0.8
–
no baseline yet
37.5° N, 122.0° W cell 8428347ffffffff
5
-2.0
-2.8
–
no baseline yet
44.3° N, 114.5° W cell 8428867ffffffff
5
2.3
4.3
–
no baseline yet
47.7° N, 122.3° W cell 8428d55ffffffff
5
-3.9
0.6
–
no baseline yet
39.9° N, 84.3° W cell 842a907ffffffff
5
4.0
-1.3
–
no baseline yet
25.9° N, 80.1° W cell 8444a11ffffffff
5
0.2
3.2
–
no baseline yet
35.5° N, 79.8° W cell 8444da7ffffffff
5
-4.6
0.0
–
no baseline yet
6.6° N, 3.2° E cell 8458827ffffffff
5
-4.2
-4.5
–
no baseline yet
41.8° N, 12.6° E cell 841e805ffffffff
4
-4.3
2.9
–
no baseline yet
38.4° N, 92.3° W cell 8426557ffffffff
4
-0.8
1.6
–
no baseline yet
39.1° N, 92.3° W cell 842655dffffffff
4
2.0
3.7
–
no baseline yet
41.4° N, 109.2° W cell 8426b33ffffffff
4
3.0
1.9
–
no baseline yet
35.9° N, 115.0° W cell 8429869ffffffff
4
-0.9
6.0
–
no baseline yet
40.3° N, 74.6° W cell 842a13dffffffff
4
-3.3
1.2
–
no baseline yet
41.8° N, 71.6° W cell 842a331ffffffff
4
0.3
2.4
–
no baseline yet
36.7° N, 80.8° W cell 842a8a7ffffffff
4
-4.6
-3.4
–
no baseline yet
40.0° N, 82.9° W cell 842a957ffffffff
4
-9.3
-0.1
–
no baseline yet
22.9° N, 86.2° E cell 843cabdffffffff
4
-3.8
-0.3
–
no baseline yet
22.5° N, 88.2° E cell 843cf2dffffffff
4
-2.9
-0.6
–
no baseline yet
Events from GDELT, graded C3 (fairly reliable, possibly true): machine coded and easy to flood, so it never lights a sign alone. Tone runs from negative (hostile) to positive. Goldstein runs from -10 (conflict) to 10 (cooperation). The score is a robust z against the place's normal for that hour of the week. Land from Natural Earth.
Prediction markets
3 TRACKED
We read the price, never the volume: a large share of prediction market volume has been wash trading. A move of 15 points or more in 24 hours is flagged. When Kalshi, which is regulated, and Polymarket ask the same question, Kalshi's price leads.
Tracked markets, the ones that moved 15 points or more first
Prices from Kalshi, graded C3 (fairly reliable, possibly true) and Polymarket, graded C3 (fairly reliable, possibly true).
Sanctions adds
OFAC SDN LIST
A new name on the US Treasury's sanctions list is an event. Companies, vessels and aircraft are listed by name. People added to the list are counted, never named here.
No people count read yet.
COMPANIES, VESSELS AND AIRCRAFT ADDED
No companies, vessels or aircraft added yet.
From the OFAC sanctions list, graded A1 (completely reliable, confirmed by other sources).
MAYDAY // PIZZA // UNCLASSIFIED // OPEN SOURCE // FOR THE PEOPLESTATUS // NORMAL ·