World Pulse

UPDATED · GDELT

What is this?

Every 15 minutes GDELT reads the world's news and codes each event it finds by place. We count those events in hexagons about 50 km across and compare each count with a normal count for that place and that hour of the week. Prediction markets and sanctions lists sit beside the map.

How to read this

The darker the hexagon, the further its count runs over normal. There are four steps and no colors: an outline is near normal, a quarter fill is above normal, a half fill is far above normal, and a full fill is past the bar to alert. A place with no history yet is outlined only.

News volume is not the same as events on the ground. State media can flood a country, and machine coding misfires. A single place never lights a sign on its own: the scenarios read tone and volume by country, and a market must move with them.

Every term on this page, in plain words: the glossary ▶

Places

116 WITH EVENTS
The 100 places furthest over normal, of 116
PLACEEVENTSTONEGOLDSTEINSCOREAGAINST NORMALWINDOW
39.1° N, 77.1° W
cell 842aa85ffffffff		38-1.5-0.7–no baseline yet
51.3° N, 0.1° W
cell 84194adffffffff		37-4.70.1–no baseline yet
36.1° N, 119.7° W
cell 8429a81ffffffff		36-5.1-0.4–no baseline yet
30.0° N, 95.3° W
cell 84446c3ffffffff		34-3.62.7–no baseline yet
27.8° N, 85.5° E
cell 843c029ffffffff		303.02.3–no baseline yet
33.7° S, 151.3° E
cell 84be0e3ffffffff		291.40.8–no baseline yet
48.8° N, 2.2° E
cell 841fb47ffffffff		26-4.80.8–no baseline yet
46.7° N, 32.9° E
cell 841e4a9ffffffff		21-0.71.3–no baseline yet
42.1° N, 74.7° W
cell 842a16dffffffff		21-1.60.2–no baseline yet
32.6° N, 74.8° E
cell 843d363ffffffff		191.32.4–no baseline yet
37.6° S, 145.0° E
cell 84be635ffffffff		19-0.6-2.7–no baseline yet
40.3° N, 82.5° W
cell 842a951ffffffff		18-4.5-3.0–no baseline yet
33.8° S, 18.5° E
cell 84ad361ffffffff		160.33.1–no baseline yet
41.7° N, 72.5° W
cell 842a14bffffffff		15-1.5-1.2–no baseline yet
41.6° N, 81.6° W
cell 842ab39ffffffff		15-5.1-2.1–no baseline yet
27.8° N, 81.8° W
cell 8444ad3ffffffff		15-2.11.0–no baseline yet
32.6° N, 35.4° E
cell 842db03ffffffff		13-3.72.9–no baseline yet
30.0° N, 32.5° E
cell 843e639ffffffff		13-3.71.4–no baseline yet
3.3° N, 101.9° E
cell 8465055ffffffff		13-3.20.8–no baseline yet
34.1° N, 118.6° W
cell 8429a19ffffffff		11-2.5-2.1–no baseline yet
24.5° N, 46.8° E
cell 845355dffffffff		11-1.40.3–no baseline yet
48.1° N, 16.3° E
cell 841e15bffffffff		10-17.4-6.2–no baseline yet
41.9° N, 87.6° W
cell 842664dffffffff		10-4.21.4–no baseline yet
38.7° N, 121.5° W
cell 842832bffffffff		10-8.82.7–no baseline yet
35.2° N, 120.5° W
cell 8429addffffffff		10-3.3-3.7–no baseline yet
42.5° N, 71.2° W
cell 842a307ffffffff		10-2.7-0.2–no baseline yet
35.8° N, 51.4° E
cell 842cf31ffffffff		10-8.9-2.2–no baseline yet
31.3° N, 121.6° E
cell 8430995ffffffff		103.41.1–no baseline yet
39.9° N, 116.3° E
cell 8431aa5ffffffff		10-2.11.9–no baseline yet
29.6° N, 95.6° W
cell 84446cbffffffff		10-3.42.5–no baseline yet
31.1° N, 97.6° W
cell 84489abffffffff		10-2.20.4–no baseline yet
33.7° N, 111.6° W
cell 8448eb3ffffffff		101.21.9–no baseline yet
41.6° N, 93.7° W
cell 84260d9ffffffff		9-4.9-3.2–no baseline yet
45.8° N, 93.7° W
cell 8426253ffffffff		9-3.10.9–no baseline yet
41.8° N, 73.1° W
cell 842a141ffffffff		9-1.62.9–no baseline yet
52.2° N, 4.8° E
cell 8419695ffffffff		8-1.3-1.1–no baseline yet
41.8° N, 12.6° E
cell 841e805ffffffff		8-1.30.8–no baseline yet
34.1° N, 71.1° E
cell 8420937ffffffff		8-5.4-0.5–no baseline yet
47.4° N, 121.9° W
cell 8428d43ffffffff		8-1.00.5–no baseline yet
34.2° N, 118.1° W
cell 8429a1dffffffff		8-4.50.3–no baseline yet
39.3° N, 76.7° W
cell 842aa8dffffffff		8-10.8-2.6–no baseline yet
33.7° N, 130.3° E
cell 8430d9bffffffff		8-1.83.0–no baseline yet
28.5° N, 77.2° E
cell 843da11ffffffff		8-2.5-2.2–no baseline yet
28.2° N, 82.4° W
cell 84441a1ffffffff		8-5.04.2–no baseline yet
31.9° N, 84.0° W
cell 8444c4bffffffff		8-21.0-7.2–no baseline yet
21.5° N, 39.9° E
cell 8453a93ffffffff		8-1.27.5–no baseline yet
6.3° S, 106.7° E
cell 848c107ffffffff		8-6.5-2.9–no baseline yet
29.2° S, 25.9° E
cell 84bce8dffffffff		81.53.6–no baseline yet
53.4° N, 2.5° W
cell 841951bffffffff		73.82.0–no baseline yet
33.9° N, 117.8° W
cell 8429a0bffffffff		7-8.8-1.5–no baseline yet
33.8° N, 118.3° W
cell 8429a57ffffffff		7-8.8-3.3–no baseline yet
42.2° N, 71.7° W
cell 842a33dffffffff		71.63.9–no baseline yet
35.9° N, 139.7° E
cell 842f5a3ffffffff		7-3.5-0.2–no baseline yet
29.5° N, 76.9° E
cell 843d12dffffffff		7-4.1-1.5–no baseline yet
32.9° N, 83.7° W
cell 8444c0bffffffff		7-2.4-0.7–no baseline yet
41.3° S, 174.9° E
cell 84bb295ffffffff		70.4-0.8–no baseline yet
36.8° S, 174.8° E
cell 84bb501ffffffff		70.52.5–no baseline yet
32.6° S, 151.7° E
cell 84be1d3ffffffff		7-1.43.6–no baseline yet
35.0° N, 72.6° E
cell 84209e3ffffffff		6-8.30.0–no baseline yet
43.3° N, 93.4° W
cell 8426281ffffffff		6-1.13.1–no baseline yet
37.6° N, 89.2° W
cell 8426415ffffffff		6-7.4-1.2–no baseline yet
40.4° N, 89.1° W
cell 8426621ffffffff		6-3.2-0.5–no baseline yet
45.5° N, 122.7° W
cell 8428f01ffffffff		6-2.9-3.7–no baseline yet
40.3° N, 74.6° W
cell 842a13dffffffff		6-0.40.3–no baseline yet
39.0° N, 35.0° E
cell 842d11dffffffff		6-2.22.6–no baseline yet
30.6° N, 53.1° E
cell 8443223ffffffff		6-9.4-0.8–no baseline yet
25.4° N, 55.4° E
cell 8443acdffffffff		6-7.7-7.5–no baseline yet
34.9° S, 138.6° E
cell 84b9169ffffffff		65.54.4–no baseline yet
52.3° N, 0.4° E
cell 84194edffffffff		51.71.4–no baseline yet
35.6° N, 96.9° W
cell 8426ea5ffffffff		5-0.40.1–no baseline yet
43.6° N, 116.4° W
cell 8428843ffffffff		55.92.2–no baseline yet
39.2° N, 84.4° W
cell 842a931ffffffff		5-7.0-5.4–no baseline yet
37.6° N, 127.1° E
cell 8430e1dffffffff		5-2.05.1–no baseline yet
24.4° N, 118.1° E
cell 8441a55ffffffff		54.03.2–no baseline yet
36.3° N, 59.4° E
cell 8443609ffffffff		5-9.4-4.7–no baseline yet
32.9° N, 89.5° W
cell 844458dffffffff		54.64.6–no baseline yet
32.8° N, 86.7° W
cell 8444e89ffffffff		52.04.0–no baseline yet
11.8° N, 79.6° E
cell 8461ab7ffffffff		5-4.1-3.5–no baseline yet
32.2° S, 151.0° E
cell 84be19bffffffff		5-0.64.2–no baseline yet
42.0° N, 93.5° W
cell 84262b3ffffffff		41.9-2.9–no baseline yet
44.0° N, 92.8° W
cell 84262c3ffffffff		4-13.2-0.5–no baseline yet
35.6° N, 92.3° W
cell 84265abffffffff		41.34.0–no baseline yet
35.2° N, 94.5° W
cell 8426e95ffffffff		41.35.1–no baseline yet
44.3° N, 114.5° W
cell 8428867ffffffff		4-1.53.2–no baseline yet
38.4° N, 81.1° W
cell 842a837ffffffff		4-1.17.0–no baseline yet
41.6° N, 77.6° W
cell 842aa01ffffffff		41.12.9–no baseline yet
29.0° N, 119.9° E
cell 8441945ffffffff		47.06.1–no baseline yet
34.3° N, 83.1° W
cell 8444c33ffffffff		4-4.5-1.7–no baseline yet
34.2° N, 82.7° W
cell 8444c37ffffffff		4-4.5-7.5–no baseline yet
35.5° N, 79.8° W
cell 8444da7ffffffff		4-5.14.0–no baseline yet
34.3° N, 80.6° W
cell 8444de1ffffffff		4-8.71.6–no baseline yet
34.0° N, 80.9° W
cell 8444de9ffffffff		4-6.3-0.1–no baseline yet
24.9° N, 46.8° E
cell 8453737ffffffff		4-3.05.7–no baseline yet
18.9° N, 72.8° E
cell 84608b1ffffffff		46.62.4–no baseline yet
2.0° N, 99.1° E
cell 84652bbffffffff		40.05.2–no baseline yet
18.0° N, 76.6° W
cell 8467329ffffffff		41.4-0.7–no baseline yet
18.3° S, 127.6° E
cell 8494d5dffffffff		42.76.4–no baseline yet
36.8° S, 175.3° E
cell 84bb505ffffffff		41.12.5–no baseline yet
36.7° S, 144.1° E
cell 84be455ffffffff		4-0.6-0.3–no baseline yet
38.4° N, 92.3° W
cell 8426557ffffffff		30.66.3–no baseline yet

Events from GDELT, graded C3 (fairly reliable, possibly true): machine coded and easy to flood, so it never lights a sign alone. Tone runs from negative (hostile) to positive. Goldstein runs from -10 (conflict) to 10 (cooperation). The score is a robust z against the place's normal for that hour of the week. Land from Natural Earth.

Prediction markets

3 TRACKED

We read the price, never the volume: a large share of prediction market volume has been wash trading. A move of 15 points or more in 24 hours is flagged. When Kalshi, which is regulated, and Polymarket ask the same question, Kalshi's price leads.

Tracked markets, the ones that moved 15 points or more first
QUESTIONVENUEPRICE OF YES24 H MOVEFLAGPRICED
Will the Democratic party win the House in 2028?Kalshi81%no price 24 hours agonone
Will the Democratic party win the Senate in 2028?Kalshi89%no price 24 hours agonone
Will the Republican party win the Senate in 2028?Kalshi11%no price 24 hours agonone

Prices from Kalshi, graded C3 (fairly reliable, possibly true) and Polymarket, graded C3 (fairly reliable, possibly true).

Sanctions adds

OFAC SDN LIST

A new name on the US Treasury's sanctions list is an event. Companies, vessels and aircraft are listed by name. People added to the list are counted, never named here.

No people count read yet.

COMPANIES, VESSELS AND AIRCRAFT ADDED

No companies, vessels or aircraft added yet.

From the OFAC sanctions list, graded A1 (completely reliable, confirmed by other sources).